Weekly Market Outlook 3/15/26
One sector that stands out, founder led AI infrastructure stock, best charts, and more.
The war drags on.
We’re inching closer to week three of the war between the U.S. and Iran, with no end in sight. Yet.
Overwhelming public sentiment seems to be getting worse from both a market and societal perspective. Boots on the ground in the Middle East is getting closer to reality, gas prices are spiking, the “death of white collar jobs” narrative and layoffs are accelerating (Block cut 40% of their staff a few weeks ago, and Meta is rumored to be close to a 20% cut), and stocks are weakening.
This is not a healthy trading environment, and it hasn’t been for quite some time now.
Although it’s been difficult, one thing remains true:
You should never take a big loss.
It’s the most important rule of trading that any successful trader will tell you, non negotiable. Losing trades are inevitable, everyone loses. What isn’t inevitable is big losses. Why? Because we control the size of our losing trades. If you take a big loss it’s because you let a small loss turn into a big one, it should never happen.
There should only be four outcomes while trading:
Big win
Small win
Breakeven
Small loss
That’s it, big losses shouldn’t be an option. If you program yourself to not allow big losses, your chances of success will increase exponentially. A tough environment does not excuse a big loss. We are all responsible for our own decisions, wins, and losses. The market is one of the few areas of life where we have complete control over our risk and outcomes.
The market is teetering, but there is still opportunity to make money out there both long and short.
In the remainder of this article I’m going to walk through the overall market, important sentiment/narrative indicators + charts, the strength in crypto and the best setups within that group, my new favorite AI infrastructure stock that I’m considering as both a trade and potentially a long term investment, an under-discussed potential AI catalyst, the strongest charts and setups across a weaker market, a review of my trading account holdings with updated thoughts on each position, and more.